Table of Contents

LIST OF TABLES
LIST OF FIGURES
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
FOREWORD
PREFACE

Our intended audience
What will readers learn?
The structure of the book
How to use this book
How to contact us

CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION TO THE CLIMATE PROBLEM
Chapter overview
Introduction
It's warming
It's us
We're sure
It's bad
We can fix it (but we'd better hurry)
What is a warming limit?.
An evolution in thinking
Can it be done?
Keeping carbon in the ground
The economics of climate action
Climate action, equity, and justice
Speed trumps perfection in climate solutions
Chapter conclusions
Further reading

CHAPTER 2: INTRODUCTION TO CLIMATE SOLUTIONS
Chapter introduction
Treat climate like the moral issue it is
Climate change as an adaptive challenge
Building new fossil infrastructure makes solving the problem harder
Speeding up the energy transition
The false choice between innovation and immediate, rapid emissions reductions
The folly of delay
Learning by doing only happens if we do!
How fast should we reduce emissions?
What we must do
Ending fossil fuel use
Minimizing non-fossil GHGs
What does “climate positive” mean?
The eight pillars of climate action
Visualizing successful climate action
We have to do it all
Who’s responsible?
Chapter conclusions
Further reading

CHAPTER 3: TOOLS OF THE TRADE
Beginning the journey
Emissions inventories
Mapping emissions onto human activities (tasks)
Rethinking the design process
Understanding capital stocks
Understanding key drivers of emissions
Creating structured scenario comparisons
More detailed breakdowns of savings from key options
A useful way to summarize total emission savings
Understanding technology cost curves
Scenario simulation tools
Life-cycle assessment
Understanding energy systems
Following good analytical practice
Chapter conclusions
Further reading

CHAPTER 4: ELECTRIFY (ALMOST) EVERYTHING

Chapter overview
Introduction
Creating or adopting a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario
Creating a base-year emissions inventory
Projecting base year emissions to mid-century
Analyzing electrification for a climate-positive scenario
Understanding key technologies
Understanding key policies
Data sources
Assessing increases in electricity demand
What activities can’t be easily electrified now?
A different type of electrification
Chapter conclusions
Further reading

CHAPTER 5: DECARBONIZE ELECTRICITY
Chapter overview
Introduction
Bringing the future into focus
What about system reliability?
What about 100% renewables?
Creating or adopting a BAU scenario
Creating the climate positive scenario
Understanding key technologies
Understanding key policies
Data sources
Chapter conclusions
Further reading

CHAPTER 6: MINIMIZE NON-FOSSIL WARMING AGENTS
Chapter overview
Introduction
Sources of non-fossil emissions
Base year emissions by human activity
Summary of non-fossil emissions by major category
Ecosystems disruptions
Food and agriculture
Industrial processes
Aviation contrails
Hydrogen
Creating or adopting a BAU scenario
Projecting base year emissions to mid-century
Creating the climate-positive scenario
Data sources
Chapter conclusions
Further reading

CHAPTER 7: EFFICIENCY AND OPTIMIZATION
Chapter overview
Introduction
Creating or adopting a BAU scenario
Creating the climate-positive scenario
Moving to zero-emission technologies
Improving end-use efficiency
Redefining tasks
Direct electricity used by ICT
Chapter conclusions
Further reading

CHAPTER 8: REMOVE CARBON
Chapter overview
Introduction
Understanding carbon removal
Carbon removal is not a silver bullet
Carbon capture and storage is not the same as carbon removal
Carbon removal options
Protecting ecosystems
Reforestation and afforestation
Increased soil carbon sequestration
Blue carbon
Enhanced weathering
Biomass processing with carbon capture and storage
Direct air capture with storage
Potentials and costs for carbon removal
Creating or adopting a BAU scenario
Creating the climate-positive scenario
Chapter conclusions
Further reading

CHAPTER 9: ALIGN INCENTIVES
Chapter overview
Introduction
Making it easy
Make climate-friendly options the most convenient
Make climate action normal good behavior
Make the invisible visible
Tighten regulations, mandate solutions, ban polluting technologies
Changing the game
Make a stable climate a core right and principle
Restructure property rights
Harness learning effects, economies of scale, and spillovers
Harness social incentives
Fixing the rules
Rationalize regulations
Change laws, rules, and regulations
Make polluters liable for climate damages
Make companies liable for failure to disclose and prepare for climate risks
Building your scenarios
Creating or adopting a BAU scenario
Creating the climate-positive scenario
Chapter conclusions
Further reading

CHAPTER 10: MOBILIZE MONEY
Chapter overview
Introduction
Context
How much money needs to shift into climate solutions?
Shifting off fossil fuels can pay for getting to zero emissions
Speeding up innovation in finance and business models
Greater wealth = greater climate responsibility
Helping power sector market structures evolve
Price pollution
Price carbon pollution
Understand the limits of carbon pricing
Price other GHGs
Price other fossil pollutants
Subsidize investments and innovation
Defray capital costs with rebates
Invest in climate tech R&D
Pay for performance
Redirect capital
Equitably distribute pollution revenues
End pro-pollution subsidies
Donate to climate action
Get polluter money out of politics
Factor climate into spending decisions
Redirect fossil profits to climate infrastructure
Re-allocate banking and investment portfolios
Align central banking and monetary policy with climate targets
Make new money for carbon removal + all climate solutions?
Building your scenarios
Creating or adopting a BAU scenario
Creating the climate-positive scenario
Chapter conclusions
Further reading

CHAPTER 11: ELEVATE TRUTH

Chapter overview
Introduction
Public understanding about climate lags the science
What we must do
Tell the truth about climate
Engage the public with climate truths through information campaigns
Root out fossil-funded corruption
Mandate transparency and accurate climate disclosures
Ban advertising and sponsorships for fossil fuel technologies
Deplatform climate misinformation and disinformation
Hold the fossil fuel industry and other bad actors accountable for climate lies
Chapter conclusions
Further reading

CHAPTER 12: BRINGING IT ALL TOGETHER
Chapter overview
Introduction
Telling a good story
The end of the journey
Big models or simpler spreadsheets?
Solving climate is a team sport
Cross-cutting issues
Balancing costs, benefits, and tradeoffs
Interactions between measures
Equity and climate justice
Population, health, and education
Adaptation and resilience
Making governance work
Focus on what matters most
Key pieces of the puzzle
Chapter conclusions: Creating a climate positive world
Further reading

CHAPTER 13: OUR CLIMATE-POSITIVE FUTURE
Chapter overview
Further reading

APPENDIX A: INTRODUCTION TO THE CLIMATE PROBLEM (LONG FORM)
Appendix overview
It's warming
It's us
We're sure
It's bad
We can fix it (but we'd better hurry)
What is a warming limit?
An evolution in thinking
The folly of delay
Can it be done?
Keeping carbon in the ground
The economics of climate action
Climate action, equity, and justice
Speed trumps perfection in pandemic response and climate solutions
Greenhouse gas concentrations and temperatures with rapid climate action
Appendix conclusions
Further reading

APPENDIX B: MODELING CAPITAL STOCK GROWTH AND TURNOVER

APPENDIX C: WHY MUCH EXISTING FOSSIL CAPITAL WILL NEED TO RETIRE

APPENDIX D: EXPANDED KAYA DECOMPOSITION

APPENDIX E: PROPER TREATMENT OF PRIMARY ENERGY
Primary energy conventions can be misleading
Disentangling Energy Intensity and Supply Chain Losses
Converting non-combustion energy production to primary energy

APPENDIX F: ESTIMATED ANNUAL REVENUES FROM FOSSIL FUEL COMPANIES AND TOBACCO COMPANIES IN 2019

APPENDIX G: THE EFFECT OF CARBON PRICES ON EXISTING COAL-FIRED ELECTRICITY GENERATION AND RETAIL GASOLINE PRICES

REFERENCES